> ## Content Index
> Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.techloy.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further.

# VIDEO: How to Predict a Crypto Coin’s Real Value Before Buying
- URL: https://www.techloy.com/video-how-to-predict-a-crypto-coins-real-value-before-buying/
- Published: 2025-07-04T09:45:01.000Z
- Updated: 2025-07-04T09:45:01.000Z
- Description: That $1 token might not be as cheap as it looks.
- Author: David Adubiina
- Tags: / Tech Guide, Videos, / Crypto

More often than not, most people get into [crypto](https://www.techloy.com/tag/cryptocurrency/) because some influencer or YouTuber they follow says it’s worth it. You hear things like “This coin is going to 100x” or “It’s still early,” and suddenly, you're buying. But what they rarely tell you is that there’s more to crypto than just hype and hope. There’s actual math behind the scenes. One of the most important (and most ignored) parts of that math is a simple metric called FDV.

[VIDEO: How to Monitor On-Chain Trading Volume of a Coin Using DeFiLlamaLearn how to easily track on-chain trading volume of any crypto coin, so you can see what’s really moving the market.![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/c1/a6/c1a6d111-d951-41ad-a392-c1e841210b93/content/images/icon/techloy-avatar-1-2571.png)TechloyDavid Adubiina![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/c1/a6/c1a6d111-d951-41ad-a392-c1e841210b93/content/images/thumbnail/How-to-Monitor-On-Chain-Trading-Volume-of-a-Coin-Using-DeFiLlama-2.png)](https://www.techloy.com/video-how-to-monitor-on-chain-trading-volume-of-a-coin-using-defillama/)

## **What Is FDV?**

FDV stands for **Fully Diluted Valuation**. It’s a metric used to estimate the future potential of a crypto project by calculating what the market cap *would be* if all tokens were already in circulation.

The formula is simple:  
**FDV = Token Price × Total Supply**

So, if a coin is trading at $1 and the total supply is 1 billion tokens, the FDV is $1 billion, regardless of how many tokens are currently in the market. This matters because a coin can *look* cheap based on its current price, but the FDV tells you if it’s already priced for the moon.

## **How to Use FDV to Spot Overhyped Coins**

![black flat screen computer monitor](https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1590283603385-17ffb3a7f29f?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3wxMTc3M3wwfDF8c2VhcmNofDExfHxjcnlwdG8lMjB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzUxNTM4MTQ0fDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=2000)

Photo by [Nick Chong](https://unsplash.com/@nick604) / [Unsplash](https://unsplash.com/?utm%5Fsource=ghost&utm%5Fmedium=referral&utm%5Fcampaign=api-credit)

- **Step 1:** Go to any crypto data site like **CoinMarketCap** or **CoinGecko**.
- **Step 2:** Pick a coin you’re interested in to reveal more information.
- **Step 3:** On the new page, you will see information like market cap, circulating supply, and others.
- **Step 4:** Look for **FDV** (sometimes labeled “Fully Diluted Market Cap”).

0:00 

/1:09 

1× 

**Video Script & Editing:* [**Kelechi Edeh*](https://www.techloy.com/author/kelechi/) */ Techloy.com | Content Research:* [**David Adubiina*](https://www.techloy.com/author/david/) */ Techloy.com*

💡

If the FDV is way higher than the current market cap, it means most tokens haven’t been released yet. And when they eventually hit the market? That could dilute the price.

### **Conclusion**

If you’re looking to buy a crypto and want to know whether it actually has room to grow, start with FDV. It’s one of the simplest ways to figure out if a coin is undervalued—or already priced like it’s the next Bitcoin. This has helped me make timely decisions that saved my portfolio from ruin and even added gains during rough market cycles. While this metric alone can’t predict the future or replace proper research, it can help you narrow down your options and avoid coins that are all sizzle, no substance. So, before you buy into the next trending token, check the FDV. Because sometimes, the coin isn’t early, you’re just late to the party with a flashlight.

[VIDEO: How to Check If a Token Is a Honeypot ScamYour quick reality check before that ‘next 100x gem’ drains your wallet.![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/c1/a6/c1a6d111-d951-41ad-a392-c1e841210b93/content/images/icon/techloy-avatar-1-2570.png)TechloyDavid Adubiina![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/c1/a6/c1a6d111-d951-41ad-a392-c1e841210b93/content/images/thumbnail/How-to-Check-If-a-Token-Is-a-Honeypot-Scam-1-1.png)](https://www.techloy.com/video-how-to-check-if-a-token-is-a-honeypot-scam/)